I describe the article as dangerously misinformed, and looks to me largely like one of those Microsft must win becasue they just will pieces. Thre are several things in it which I would take contention with.
"Right now, it's still open for anyone,"
Rubbish! Its not open. Most of the handset manufactuers have joined up with Symbian. If we're talking about the smartphone handset market here one of three things will happen:
1. Symbian dominates with an open OS
2. Nokia becomes a software company (effectively taking over Symbian) and becoming predominant
3. (most likely) There'a split between Symbian and other minor players.
What is true is that there will remain a considerable chunk of PDA controlled territory in MS's hand, but there they are competing with Palm etc. And just as a side note Sanyo are supposed to be produced a non handset symbian device.
According to Waryas, the big ticket customer for wireless is the enterprise and businesses are moving away from the mobile phone to wireless devices that have more computing power. In that case, Microsoft will be nearly impossible to beat.
This is only true to a certain extent. I for one don't believe the wirless devices such as the XDA will ever replace the mobile phone / handset market. People will want both. Symbian's big advantage here is it has a scalable OS - it can produce the small Smartphone (7650) - and actually there scope to go much smaller there, and the more advanced smartphone (P800), as well as the communicator (still unique it is market positioning).
I can forsee a future where people might have both an XDA type device and a smartphone, or just a smartphone, but NOT just an XDA.
What this article fails to realise is that the PDA market is small fry compared to the mobile phone market. (A good example of this is that just the 9210 has around 25% market share in the PDA sector in Europe). Imagine what will happen when there's 10's of Symbian powered phones available. Symbian will simply outsell anything else.
Waryas said that company IT departments are starting to make the wireless decisions, and "they'll be most inclined to go with what they know."
Some business maybe, but the prime motiavtor will be money. Microsft win on the desktop at the moment not because they are necessairly better (lets not get into that!), but because its makes most sense for business to go with them. Everybody knows how to use Windows, training costs are low. If you look at something like the server market where this is less of an issue Linux is doing very well. I think the same will happen with the smartphone market. Symbian will win because its better, and it has manufacturer support, and because people will expect to use Symbian (there's is no inbuilt windows bias here). Business are hard nosed, they don't choose things because they're familiar - its insulting to say otherwise.
As for the last part about Symbian's danger from itself - yes its true, but its also it greatest advantage. Imagine how great thigns will be when everything is compatiable. That'll be the real killer app.
Right enough from me